Friday, October 29, 2010
Mexico: Calderon says US demand driving Mexican Drug Wars
In an interview on the BBC TV show HardTalk, President Calderon said that so long as the US is the world's number one consumer of illicit drugs, the Mexican Drug Wars will continue.
While the US demand does drive the trafficking of illicit drugs, it is only part of the motivation behind these drug wars.
Another variable in this mess is the inability of the Mexican State's institutions to effectively police its national territory, and the host of HardTalk brings this up. Clearly, the drug cartels at some point made the decision to begin these wars with the idea that they could win them and in the end enjoy the spoils of war. This decision presupposes that they will be able to act with a certain degree of impunity due to a weak Mexican state. Add on top of that the inexperience the Mexican military has in regular police operations, the difficulty in co-ordinating regular police activities caused by the federal structure of their state, and the relative ease with which the regular forces of each institution can be corrupted by drug money, and the domestic aspect becomes apparent.
It is always easy to blame the US for the problems of the Latin American countries. But there comes a point when their politicians have to take on responsibility for the persistent state of societal turmoil, rejecting the idea that their fortunes are simply tied up in the whims of the Colossus of the North.
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
2010 Corruption Perceptions Index Shows Entrenched Corruption Still Prevalent in Latin America
Latin America is generally in the 2.0-5.9 range. The USA received a 7.1, and Canada got 8.9. The highest ranking was shared by New Zealand, Denmark, and Singapore at 9.3 |
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Find Out Who Is Sponsoring American Legislators using Influence-Tracker Tool [Wired]
I think that it will be interesting to use this tool whenever a news story about American politicians comes up. When I became aware of Senators or Congressmen issuing opinions on Latin America, I plan on checking who their sponsors are and what relation this appears to have on their policies.
Here is the link: http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2010/10/influence-tracker/
"Return to El Salvador" Movie Screening, Nov 9th
Return to El Salvador: Film Screening and Discussion | ||||
| November 09, 2010 12:30 PM The Liu Institute for Global Issues, International Development Research Network (IDRN), and Centre for Global Environmental and Natural Resource Law invite you to a Film Screening and Discussion. | |||
Return to El Salvador, narrated by Martin Sheen, is the latest documentary from director Jamie Moffett, who explores the reconstruction of El Salvador, post-civil war. Return to El Salvador brings the struggles of this beleaguered country back into view and examines what drives over 700 Salvadorans to flee their homeland each day, often risking their lives to illegally enter countries in search of a better life for their families. It also profiles local opposition to mining activities and an ongoing legal dispute between a Canadian mining company and the government of El Salvador under the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA). Following a screening of the film (68 min), the speakers will discuss this dispute in more detail as well as current legislative proposals in Canada aimed at ensuring corporate accountability for Canadian firms operating abroad. Speakers:
Chair:
Download the poster here. | ||||
Location: Liu Institute for Global Issues, Multipurpose Room Address: 6476 NW Marine Drive, Vancouver |
Sunday, October 24, 2010
Colombia: President Santos Making Prudent Foreign Policy Moves
Santos has made several prudent foreign policy drives this week, including a plan to normalize relations with Chavez's Venezuela. |
The Democratic Security Strategy has dealt the FARC several significant set backs, such as the killing of top commanders (Raul Reyes in Ecuador in 2008, and Mono Jojoy on Sept 22nd, 2010) and the demobilization of thousands of guerrillas. Reconciling with Venezuela will increase cooperation between the two militaries in patrolling the border, thereby eliminating one of the last areas of refuge for the guerrillas. Stabilizing relations will lower tensions in the region, which have become a polarized with Chavez's (and other leftist leader's) continued criticism of US foreign policy and Colombia's decision in 2009 to grant the US access to seven military bases throughout Colombia.
Santos has also said that he expects a Colombia-Venezuela free trade agreement to become manifest by April 2011. These are very ambitious goals, especially given the ideological tension between the two governments and the recent history of foreign policy antagonisms. The president of Colombia's National Business Association, Luis Carlos Villegas, announced in Aug that Colombia has found new markets for over two billion dollars previously exported to Venezuela. Bilateral trade between the two antagonists fell by 73% over the first quarter compared to the year before due to an informal ban over bilateral trade initiated by Venezuela. This new trade relationship will again increase demand for Colombian non traditional-exports (since Venezuela has oil a-plenty), and hopefully stay the feared Dutch Disease.
This economic condition occurs when a rise in natural resource production brings in a large amount of foreign capital and foreign direct investment, causing the national currency to appreciate and make every other of the nation's exports relatively more expensive for importing market. This happened to Colombia during the 1970s coffee boom, and some experts fear that their rising export in oil is making it happen again. The Economist, in a special report on Latin America, has also noted the potential for Dutch Disease. While Colombian oil exports increased by 80%, textile exports decreased by 53% in 2009. Oil production in September 2010 is higher than at any other point in the last ten years. The Colombian Central Bank statistics show that in 2002 44% of FDI was invested in the oil sector, and this figure rose to 77% in 2009. While resuming trade with Venezuela is not expected to be a panacea solution for this economic condition, it can at least be expected to mitigate against some of its effects.
Second, Santos has sought to further strengthen ties with the US, but instead seeking to reestablish their relationship as one between partners and equals instead of one of dependency between aid donor and receiver.
US Ambassador to Colombia, Michael McKinley, has spoken to Santos about forming an "alliance". The US has been hesitant to offer strictly termed 'alliances' in the past, instead preferring lesser informal agreements like 'Strategic Partnership's', or "Mutual Cooperation Treaty's". Israel for the longest time could not get the US to offer them an explicit alliance, despite being the number one recipient of US military aid for several years. So this is big news for Colombia. It represents the US recognition of Colombia as being fundamentally integral to US security interests, especially as the number one producer of cocaine that is trafficked to the US. It has given Colombia more than 8 billion dollars to fight counterinsurgency campaigns and drug enforcement in the past 10 years.
However, while the US does require that the Colombian military respect international Human Rights obligations as a condition on receiving this aid, it is becoming increasingly apparent that neo-paramilitary forces are committing widespread abuses which according to eyewitness account are operation with tacit consent from the authorities. A Human Rights Watch publication from earlier this year titled "Paramilitaries Heirs" chronicles these abuses, often committed against trade unionists, human rights activists, and victims of past crimes seeking restitution. The report alleges that the government is dragging its feet over countering these forces, because it would mean that their demobilization program of the Autodefensas Unidos de Colombia has been a total failure. Forcing the military to take action against them is also problematic, because Colombia's military has a much higher degree of autonomy from the civilian administration than us in the West are used to. In fact, it was a big triumph for Colombian democracy to even be able to replace the Minister of Defense with a civilian, or to compel them to mind Human Rights obligations and training. One of the institutional prerogatives they have retained over the nation's history is the right to determine for themselves what issues they should be focusing on. And right now, they been almost singularly focused on fighting the FARC, and be hesitant to pursue the paramilitaries because of their perceived superior ability they have to root out guerrilla sympathizers in civil society.
In any case, the paramilitaries are becoming an increasingly large menace that adds yet another actor to terrorize Colombians. The paras perhaps even rival the threat posed by the guerrillas to the rule of law in this society because they are more enmeshed in civil society whereas the guerrillas are forced outside the bounds of it.
While the US continues to provide the Santos administration with support to extend the rule of law across all its sovereign territory, hopefully the US government can use its influence to Santos administration to address this growing human rights concern.
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Canadian Labour Congress Writes Letter on Behalf of Jose Figureroa, former FMLN member facing deportation
The CLC encompasses represents over 3 million members and " brings together Canada's national and international unions, the provincial and territorial federations of labour and 130 district labour councils".
The letter is addressed to Public Safety Minister Vic Toews, and Mr. Jason Kenny, Minister of Citizenship, Immigration and Multiculturalism.
Photo taken from Vancouver Sun, Les Bazso. |
It urges to the two ministers to reconsider the decision to deport Jose by the Canada Border Security Agency on the grounds that the FMLN "... is or was engaged in terrorism and/or subversion". The CBSA's ruling was influenced by a poor understanding of El Salvadorian history, overlooking the fact that the FMLN has been actively involved in the electoral processes of this country ever since a peace agreement was signed between them and the ARENA government. In fact, the FMLN today holds the Presidential Office, and the inauguration ceremony was attended by Minister of State of Foreign Affairs Peter Kent. It does not make sense then to continue to punish former FMLN members with no relationship to whatever atrocities were committed during the civil war when El Salvador itself has reconciled and the group in question has won significant representation through electoral politics widely recognized as both Free and Fair.
This is a very encouraging development in the campaign to save Jose and keep his family together in Canada.
I encourage you to check out Jose's blog http://josefigueroaimmigrationordeal.blogspot.com/ for up to the date information about his deportation situation.
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Colombia: Ombudsmen admits that at least 50,000 people have been "forcibly disappeared"
On Tuesday, the Colombian Congress ratified United Nations' 2006 International Convention for the Protection of All Persons from Enforced Disappearance.
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Prof. Carlos Fazio on the cause of Mexican militarization, corruption, and human rights abuses: sounds nice in theory...
On 19 Oct in my Latin American Government class, journalist and professor Carlos Fazio spoke about the militarization, corruption, and human rights abuses of Mexican society. I thought it was very interesting to have a real life figure in Latin American politics come into speak to us. I admire his courage in putting forth views that put him at risk of violent reprisal by those elements of society he seeks to expose in Mexico.
Colombia: More Revelations of Institutional Corruption by Narcos
Further revelations have been made about the extent to which the narcotic trade has infiltrated and corrupted Colombia's institutions.
Sunday, October 17, 2010
Can Mexican Democracy Survive Drug Violence?
On Oct 16th, at a meeting with a delegation of European Union officials, Mexican President Felipe Calderon denied allegations that the recent wave of violence in Mexico was analogous to what Colombia experienced in the 1980s. Only hours later, former Presidential Candidate Diego Fernandez de Cevallo went missing, suspected to have been kidnapped.
Calderon denied that organized crime was taking hold in Mexico as it did in Colombia during the reign of terror caused by Pablo Escobar and the Medellin Cartel. During this time, Pablo Escobar himself was elected into Colombia’s congress while earning a fortune as the leader of the world’s biggest cocaine trafficking network. Bribery and corruption were commonplace in the government, and the murder rate was through the roof. In particular, policemen and politicians who threatened Escobar’s interests were targeted and killed by his hit men.
In Mexico these days, these stories are frighteningly commonplace. On 15 March, three people connected to the US Consulate were gunned down in a drive by shooting. On 4 Oct, an armed gang abducted 20 men, and have yet to be found. Suspected drug hitmen ambushed a police convoy, killed 8 officers on 12 Oct. On 13 Oct, a Mexican police chief who was investigating the disappearance of a US man killed by pirates while we was jet skiing. The Police chief had received death threats to stay out of the gang’s territory. On Wednesday his decapitated head was found in a suitcase near a Mexican army base. In all, it is reported by BBC that 28,000 people have been killed in drug related violence since the beginning of Calderon's term in 2006. Every day there are more and more stories like these, and it doesn’t seem that there are any signs that it is going to end soon.
Mexico seems to be in the early stages of what Colombia went through in the 1980s. So far there have not been many cases of political corruption in the higher levels of government tied to the drug trade, but it may be the case that higher level links just have not been revealed yet. There have been several indications of lower level corruption in the political system. 3,200 police officers were fired at the end of August for links with criminals. Drug gangs have intimidated populations through the killing of congressional candidates and mayors, including the torture and murder of Nicholas Leon, two time mayor of port city Lazaro Cardenas. Further indicative of a potential development down the path to 1980s Colombia, some cartels like La Familia Michoacana have sought political and social standing in society as well and use evangelical-type recruitment methods to garner support.
That extreme levels of violence must influence the electoral choices of Mexicans cannot be denied. It provides the context that Mexicans are living in right now. Despite Calderon's claims, it seems that America's southern neighbour is indeed travelling the same path as Colombia.
Mexicans can take some consolation in the fact that their democratic institutions are likely to outlive this wave of violence. Professor Steven Barracca at the University of Texas argues that while drug related corruption hinders anti-drug efforts by the police and military, it does not undermine the principle of civilian supremacy in Mexican democracy. Even though the times ahead will be bloody, frustrating, and at times hopeless, Mexican democracy will survive this violent interlude and strengthen their institutions much the same as Colombia.
Saturday, October 16, 2010
Colombia Strengthens Military Accountability
Thursday, October 14, 2010
A Whole Lotta Law, Not A Lotta Justice
Today, FMLN enjoy widespread support in El Salvador. This is a picture of the party's national convention in 2009. |